/dcf — DCF Valuation
A DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) valuation answers the most fundamental question in finance: “What is this company worth based on the cash it will generate in the future?” Unlike methods that rely on what the market is currently paying for similar companies, a DCF calculates a company’s intrinsic value by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today’s dollars.
This command builds an institutional-quality DCF model that first runs a comparable company analysis to establish market-based benchmarks, then constructs a full DCF that uses those comps to inform key assumptions — giving you both an intrinsic value estimate and a market-based sanity check.
For a deep dive into DCF concepts (time value of money, WACC, terminal value, sensitivity analysis), see the DCF Model Skill page.
Command Syntax
What It Produces
- Comps analysis spreadsheet (.xlsx) — Trading multiples for 4-6 comparable companies
- DCF model (.xlsx) — Bear/Base/Bull scenarios, WACC calculation, sensitivity tables, and valuation summary
- Written summary — Key drivers, how comps informed the analysis, and key risks
Workflow
Gather Company Information
Provide a company name or ticker. Claude uses this to identify the subject company and begin data retrieval from available MCP sources (S&P Global, FactSet, Daloopa preferred).
Run Comparable Company Analysis
Claude loads the
comps-analysis skill to build trading comps. This step matters because comps provide the market’s view of what similar companies are worth — a critical sanity check for the DCF.- Identify 4-6 comparable public companies
- Pull operating metrics (Revenue, EBITDA, margins, growth)
- Pull valuation multiples (EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, P/E)
- Calculate statistical summary (median, 25th/75th percentiles)
Build DCF Model
Claude loads the
dcf-model skill to construct the valuation:- Gather historical financials and market data
- Build revenue projections (Bear/Base/Bull cases)
- Model operating expenses and free cash flow
- Calculate WACC using CAPM
- Discount cash flows and calculate terminal value
- Bridge to equity value and implied share price
Cross-Check Valuation
After the DCF is complete, Claude validates the outputs against the comps — because a DCF that implies a company trades at 30x EBITDA when its peers trade at 12x warrants scrutiny:
- Implied EV/EBITDA vs. peer median
- Implied P/E vs. peer median
- Terminal value as % of EV (target: 50-70%)
- Implied growth embedded in valuation vs. peer growth rates
How Comps Inform the DCF
| Comps Output | DCF Input | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
| Peer median EV/EBITDA | Terminal exit multiple range | Sets the market-based anchor for what the company might trade at in the terminal year |
| Peer 25th-75th EV/EBITDA | Sensitivity analysis range | Defines the realistic range for sensitivity testing |
| Peer median growth rate | Benchmark for revenue assumptions | Keeps your growth projections grounded in what peers are actually achieving |
| Peer median EBITDA margin | Target margin in terminal year | Prevents unrealistic margin assumptions in the out-years |
| Peer median P/E | Cross-check implied P/E from DCF | Validates that the DCF output is reasonable relative to the market |
How to Customize for Your Firm
Edit the DCF Model skill file to add your firm’s specific conventions:skills/dcf-model/SKILL.md to add your preferences. For example, if your firm uses a different WACC methodology:
Related
- DCF Model Skill — Full Finance 101 explanation of DCF concepts, workflow details, and sensitivity table construction
- Comps Analysis Skill — Peer selection methodology and statistical benchmarking
/compsCommand — Run a standalone comparable company analysis